Afirma Gene Expression Classifier denials in California external review
In the California DMHC record, independent physician reviewers decided 47 published external-review cases involving Afirma Gene Expression Classifierand overturned the plan’s denial in 89.4%. That is a historical result among cases that reached this program, not a forecast for an individual appeal.
Conditions behind Afirma Gene Expression Classifier denials
| Category | Decisions | Overturned |
|---|---|---|
| Thyroid Nodule With Atypia Of Undetermined Significance | 10 | 100% |
| Thyroid Nodule | 9 | 77.8% |
| Thyroid Nodule With Indeterminate Cytology | 8 | 100% |
What the reviewers wrote
Where the denial was overturned
Nature of Statutory Criteria/Case Summary: An enrollee has requested reimbursement for Afirma gene expression classifierfor evaluation of the enrollee’s thyroid nodule. Findings: The physician reviewer found that the cytopathology of the 1.6 cm thyroid nodule was consistent with atypia of undetermined significance (AUS). There are multiple peer reviewed scientific articles indicating the benefits of the genetic test in thyroid nodules. This type of testing is also included in the algorithm for diagnosis of thyroid nodules by the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) 2016 guidelines. In this patient’s case, the cytopathology of the 1.3 cm thyroid nodule was consistent with a FLUS. The risk of malignancy is 5-15% in FLUS. The Bethesda System recommends a repeat biopsy for this type of nodule.
Nature of Statutory Criteria/Case Summary: An enrollee has requested reimbursement for the Afirma gene expression classifier testing for evaluation of the enrollee’s follicular lesion of undetermined significance. Findings: 2/3 of the physician reviewers found that there are multiple peer reviewed scientific articles supporting the benefits of genetic testing in thyroid nodules. The cytopathology result of the 5.0 cm thyroid nodule was consistent with AUS. The risk of malignancy is 5-15% in AUS. The American Thyroid Association’s guidelines state that for nodules with AUS cytology, “after consideration of worrisome clinical and sonographic features, investigations such as repeat [fine needle aspiration] FNA or molecular testing may be used to supplement malignancy risk assessment in lieu of proceeding directly with a strategy of either surveillance or diagnostic surgery.
Where the denial was upheld
Nature of Statutory Criteria/Case Summary: An enrollee has requested reimbursement for Afirma gene expression classifier for the evaluation of his indeterminate thyroid nodules. Findings: Three physician reviewers found that Fine Needle Aspiration (FNA) is a well established procedure in determining if a thyroid nodule is malignant or benign with good sensitivity for a papillary thyroid cancer. This testing is supposed to help in planning future intervention. The negative predictive value is higher in this test but the literature has shown that the positive predictive value is low. The Afirma gene expression classifier potentially can improve the net health outcome by providing an alternative to diagnostic thyroid surgery.
Nature of Statutory Criteria/Case Summary: An enrollee has requested reimbursement for the Afirma Gene Expression Classifier (GEC) genetic testing. When FNA cytopathology is indeterminate, repeat FNA and or thyroid surgery are the standard options to obtain a definitive pathological diagnosis. In this patient’s case, the initial FNA cytology was as indeterminate. Thus, FNA could have been repeated, and if cytology was still indeterminate, surgical resection should have been considered.
Figures and quotations on this page come from 42,749 published decisions in the California DMHC Independent Medical Review dataset. These are California external-review outcomes. Other state and federal programs have different eligibility rules, processes, and current availability; the rates here do not transfer to those programs or predict an individual result. Excerpts are quoted verbatim from the public record and describe this treatment generally, not any individual case.
These outcomes describe eligible cases completed through California DMHC’s Independent Medical Review program. They do not estimate the chance that an internal appeal, an external review in another jurisdiction, or your individual case will succeed. Use the record to identify evidence patterns involving Afirma Gene Expression Classifier, then check the rights and deadlines that apply to your plan.
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA DMHC INDEPENDENT MEDICAL REVIEW OUTCOMES (CHHS OPEN DATA) · AGGREGATES + DEIDENTIFIED DECISION EXCERPTS/REFERENCE IDS · METHODOLOGY